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Today has turned into one of those classic late-spring Middle Tennessee weather days where the atmosphere is trying to organize… but is fighting itself at the same time. The Storm Prediction Center has placed portions of Southern and Middle Tennessee under a MARGINAL RISK (Level 1/5) for severe thunderstorms today. While this is NOT a major severe weather outbreak setup, there are still enough ingredients in place for a few storms to briefly become strong or even marginally s

After last night, I know a lot of you are on edge. That makes sense. But tonight is not the same setup. Let’s walk through it together. THE SETUP TODAY This afternoon has been… messy. • A lot of cloud cover across Middle TN • Some breaks of sun here and there • The atmosphere was worked over this morning That means the “fuel” for storms is trying to recover, not fully there yet. WHAT TONIGHT DEPENDS ON There are two big factors: 1. How much sunshine we get→ More sun = more in

We’re dealing with two rounds of storms over the next ~36–48 hours. Not a clean, one-hit event—this is a multi-phase system. Round 1: Tonight (late evening → overnight). Round 2: Tuesday evening → Tuesday night And here’s the truth: This is a low probability, but potentially impactful setup. Meaning not everyone sees severe weather, but some could. 🛰️ WHAT THE ATMOSPHERE IS DOING We’ve got: • Plenty of instability (fuel) • Strong wind shear (organization) • A cold front +

Hey SumnerSevereWx Fam, This is the kind of setup we take seriously… not because it’s guaranteed to be a major event for us, but because it has the ingredients to produce strong to severe storms more than once. We’re looking at two separate rounds: Round 1: Monday evening into Tuesday morning Round 2: Tuesday evening into early Wednesday I know, I know. Once again, we are having overnight threats... Let’s walk through this step by step so you know exactly what to expect and w

Hey SumnerSevereWx Fam, Let’s take a minute and walk through this together, because this is one of those setups where patience matters just as much as preparation. Today: Mostly Quiet, But Not Bone Dry We’re in a pretty decent spot today. Most of us are going to stay dry, and if you’ve got outdoor plans, I’d move forward with them. No reason to cancel anything. That said, I don’t want you completely caught off guard either. There is still a small chance for a stray shower or

We’ve squeezed just about everything we can out of this quiet stretch of weather. Warm afternoons, comfortable humidity, and sunshine have been the story and honestly, it’s been a great run. But the atmosphere is starting to shift behind the scenes. Moisture is increasing, the upper pattern is flattening, and disturbances are beginning to move in from the west. That transition sets the stage for our next round of showers and storms from Friday through Monday, with lingering e

First things first… take a breath. I know as soon as people start hearing “storms this weekend” and especially “Monday,” anxiety can start creeping in. That’s completely normal. You’re not alone in that. Let’s walk through this together… no hype, no scary headlines… just what we actually know right now. The Calm Before the Change: Right now? It’s honestly beautiful out there. Low to mid 80s, comfortable air, sunshine… this is the kind of weather you wish you could bottle up a

First off, I hope everyone is finally starting to thaw out, defrost the cars, and take a deep breath after a long and exhausting winter storm. This past week was a lot on all of us. Cold, ice, power outages, stress, and very little sleep. I appreciate the patience, kindness, and trust you all showed during it. I didn’t get a chance to post a traditional Sunday weekly forecast because the storm demanded full attention, so here it is! Short-Term Relief and Melting We finally cl

A Winter Storm Warning will be in effect from midnight Friday night through 6 PM Sunday evening for much of Middle Tennessee. Confidence has continued to increase that this system will bring significant winter weather impacts, particularly related to ice and mixed precipitation. While exact snow and ice amounts are still being refined, the impact message is already clear: Travel will become hazardous late Friday night and worsen through the weekend and power outages and tree

It’s game day in Sumner County, and of course, the weather has to step in and try to throw a flag on Friday Night Lights. Let’s break it...

Tomorrow (Friday, September 5th), we’re looking at a low-end risk for severe storms across Middle Tennessee, including Sumner County....

If you’ve been enjoying the sunshine lately, get ready for a bit of a change. Starting tomorrow, we’ll see daily chances for rain that...

Hey y’all — deep breath. Let’s talk about the storms headed our way this Monday and Tuesday, May 19–20. If you deal with storm anxiety, I...

Hey friends, I know days like today can make your stomach tie in knots. The radar lights up, the sky looks unsettled, and you hear terms...

Breakdown of Today’s Weather Morning Storms have come and gone. They stayed mainly to the North. Portland, Fairfield and Westmoreland...

Okay, maybe not that long ago. And definitely not that far, just here in Sumner County, TN. But as we celebrate Star Wars Day, it seems...

Hello, Sumner County! Here’s your scoop on the upcoming week’s weather—because knowing when to grab your sunscreen or your umbrella is...

After a stretch of dry weather, rain chances make their way back to the forecast beginning early Monday morning, latest HRRR run shows...

Thank you for stopping by and supporting us—it truly means the world to us. Your presence here is not just appreciated; it's the very...