After last night, I know a lot of you are on edge. That makes sense. But tonight is not the same setup. Let’s walk through it together. THE SETUP TODAY This afternoon has been… messy. • A lot of cloud cover across Middle TN • Some breaks of sun here and there • The atmosphere was worked over this morning That means the “fuel” for storms is trying to recover, not fully there yet. WHAT TONIGHT DEPENDS ON There are two big factors: 1. How much sunshine we get→ More sun = more in
We’re dealing with two rounds of storms over the next ~36–48 hours. Not a clean, one-hit event—this is a multi-phase system. Round 1: Tonight (late evening → overnight). Round 2: Tuesday evening → Tuesday night And here’s the truth: This is a low probability, but potentially impactful setup. Meaning not everyone sees severe weather, but some could. 🛰️ WHAT THE ATMOSPHERE IS DOING We’ve got: • Plenty of instability (fuel) • Strong wind shear (organization) • A cold front +
Hey SumnerSevereWx Fam, This is the kind of setup we take seriously… not because it’s guaranteed to be a major event for us, but because it has the ingredients to produce strong to severe storms more than once. We’re looking at two separate rounds: Round 1: Monday evening into Tuesday morning Round 2: Tuesday evening into early Wednesday I know, I know. Once again, we are having overnight threats... Let’s walk through this step by step so you know exactly what to expect and w
