Low Chance of Severe Storms Friday

Tomorrow (Friday, September 5th), we’re looking at a low-end risk for severe storms across Middle Tennessee, including Sumner County. The Storm Prediction Center has placed much of our area under a Slight Risk (level 2 of 5), meaning some storms could turn strong, but this is not expected to be a widespread or high-end event.

What We’re Watching

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  Hail: A low chance exists for small hail, with only a marginal risk of anything severe (1”+).

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  Wind: Gusty winds are possible in stronger storms. This is the main concern Friday evening.

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  Tornadoes: The risk is very low. Northern Kentucky has a small chance, but for us here in Sumner County tornadoes are not expected.

Timing

The most likely window for storms is: 2 PM – 10 PM Friday

That does overlap with Friday night football games. I’ll keep a close eye on this, because lightning delays are most likely for tomorrow. I would not be surprised if games get delayed until after 8pm. If going to games, please make sure to take an umbrella, rain jacket and keep your eyes on our social media accounts. I will probably do a live radar stream and jump in when/if a warning is issued.

As these forecast model images show, storms will move through in bands. Some could weaken as the sun sets, but lightning remains a risk anytime a storm is nearby.

Here's a look at timing for the next day and half. Multiple rounds of storms.

The 18Z HRRR model showed a line of storms coming in right at start time for football games (6-7pm)

Then Clear until 5AM on Saturday Morning

Then more around 10-11AM Saturday.

Bottom Line

• ✅ This is not a “storm outbreak” type of day.

• ✅ Main risks: gusty winds, lightning, small hail.

• ✅ Friday football games: Possible weather delays, but nothing that looks dangerous or long-lasting right now.

  
  

I’ll keep watching the latest trends and will update you Friday morning with fresh data.

⚡ Best advice: Have multiple ways to get warnings, know where to shelter if storms pop up, and don’t let storm anxiety take over. This looks to be more of a nuisance event than a dangerous one.